The best ways to manage and respond to uncertainty.
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How to tell if you’re making reasonable mistakes or foolhardy leaps of faith that carry consequences far outweighing the value of the lesson.The difference between having a soldier mindset that defends whatever you want to be true, and a scout mindset that’s motivated to seek out the truth regardless of how unpleasant it might be (and which you should try to cultivate).How to spot bad arguments and faulty thinking - even when the source is you.“Drawing on her extensive knowledge of the scientific literature and of popular culture, Julia Galef explores the remarkable human capacity for self-deception-and shows us how we can catch ourselves in the act of fooling ourselves.Julia Galef ( is the host of the Rationally Speaking podcast, co-founder of The Center for Applied Rationality, and author of The Scout Mindset: Why Some People See Things Clearly and Others Don’t. ~ Ezra Klein, founder and editor-at-large, Vox.com The delight it takes in questioning its own premises, and understanding the alternative arguments, will make you want to be a scout, too.” The beauty of The Scout Mindset demonstration is it is, itself, an example of the ethos it teaches. This is something rarer, and more valuable: A book about how to think, and how to learn, without the fear or favor that so often holds us back from inching closer to the truth. “Julia Galef is an intellectual leader of the rationalist community, and in The Scout Mindset you will find an engaging, clearly written distillation of her very important accumulated wisdom on these topics.” Nor is it an attempt to scold you into thinking “correctly.” It’s a tour of a different way of being - one that’s rooted in an appetite for truth. The Scout Mindset isn’t a rant about how irrational people are. I’ll explain what the research really shows, and how a scout mindset helped CEOs like Jeff Bezos, investors like Warren Buffett, activists in the early days of the AIDS crisis, and more. For example, maybe you’ve heard that self-deception is good for your mental health? Or that entrepreneurs need to be delusionally overconfident? False and false. Throughout the book, I lead the reader through key techniques for becoming aware of your own rationalizations, making more accurate predictions, learning from disagreements, and noticing what you’re wrong about.Īlong the way, I bust some popular myths. The Scout Mindset is about how, concretely, to keep from fooling yourself. It’s what prompts you to honestly ask yourself questions like “Was I at fault in that argument?” or “Is this risk really worth it?” As the physicist Richard Feynman said: “The first rule is that you must not fool yourself – and you are the easiest person to fool.”Įasier said than done, of course. It’s what allows you to recognize when you were wrong, to seek out your blind spots, to test your assumptions and change course. My first book is about a vitally important yet underappreciated skill: being able to see things as they are, not as you wish they were.
“The Scout Mindset is a lens, and once you’re looking through it, the world makes a lot more sense.” Welcome! I’m Julia Galef, host of the Rationally Speaking podcast, and author of THE SCOUT MINDSET, out April 13th, 2021.īuy a hardcover, e-book, or audiobook here.
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